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	<title>Comments on: What To Do About Iran</title>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://www.thelibertypapers.org/2005/12/17/what-to-do-about-iran/#comment-165</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Dec 2005 21:32:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Something else to consider in favor of a popular revolution rather than an external invasion is that, while I don&#039;t pretend to be an expert on Iran, everything that I&#039;ve read seems to indicate that while the Iranian people despise the current theocracy, they are also fiercely nationalistic, and an external invasion would do more harm than good, in contrast to the invasion of Iraq. In Iran, we very well could see a real guerrilla campaign develop in the face of an invasion, as opposed to the relatively mild insurgency that has been going on in Iraq.

That, and the fact that the Army is not going to be in any kind of shape for another nation building exercise once we are done (hopefully around this time next year) in Iraq.

All that said, (wow, this is going to be a long comment), something we need to remember is that the U.S. has a long history of supporting opposition movements, only to leave them hanging (literally).  It will be imperative to ensure that this does not happen this time; it will also be difficult to convince the Iranian opposition groups to come out in open opposition to the Iranian government.  After all, they will have not forgotten what we did to the Shi&#039;ites in &#039;91 and the Kurdish opposition lead by Chalabi in the late nineties.

I&#039;m not saying its impossible; just bringing up possible problem areas.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Something else to consider in favor of a popular revolution rather than an external invasion is that, while I don&#8217;t pretend to be an expert on Iran, everything that I&#8217;ve read seems to indicate that while the Iranian people despise the current theocracy, they are also fiercely nationalistic, and an external invasion would do more harm than good, in contrast to the invasion of Iraq. In Iran, we very well could see a real guerrilla campaign develop in the face of an invasion, as opposed to the relatively mild insurgency that has been going on in Iraq.</p>
<p>That, and the fact that the Army is not going to be in any kind of shape for another nation building exercise once we are done (hopefully around this time next year) in Iraq.</p>
<p>All that said, (wow, this is going to be a long comment), something we need to remember is that the U.S. has a long history of supporting opposition movements, only to leave them hanging (literally).  It will be imperative to ensure that this does not happen this time; it will also be difficult to convince the Iranian opposition groups to come out in open opposition to the Iranian government.  After all, they will have not forgotten what we did to the Shi&#8217;ites in &#8217;91 and the Kurdish opposition lead by Chalabi in the late nineties.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not saying its impossible; just bringing up possible problem areas.</p>
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