Thoughts, essays, and writings on Liberty. Written by the heirs of Patrick Henry.

April 18, 2007

Ron Paul’s Uphill Battle

by Doug Mataconis

I’ve written before, here and here, about the massive challenge that Ron Paul faces in running for the Republican Presidential nomination. The extent of the challenge is made emphatically clear in this graphic from the Washington Post detailing the fundraising status of each of the Presidential campaigns.

It’s not pretty. On one end of the spectrum you have Mitt Romney, who’s raised more than $ 20 million. On the other side, you have Ron Paul, who’s raised about $ 600,000 and whose most notable contributor is the head of the Marijuana Policy Project.

Yes, it’s early in the campaign. And, yes, the debates haven’t started and nobody’s voted yet. But there’s an old saying — money in the mother’s milk of politics — and Ron Paul’s bottle is very empty right now.

H/T: Cato@Liberty

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  • spindletop

    Just one thing to do. Send money.

  • http://thelibertypapers.org/2005/11/22/a-bit-about-kevin/ Kevin

    Another disturbing aspect about Ron Paul’s donors, a quarter of his donors are maxed out already and he doesn’t have much to show for it.

    This is telling me that Ron Paul does not have any grassroots support at all or they are very stingy.

  • http://www.belowthebeltway.com Doug Mataconis

    True, but where Paul lags isn’t in individual donors as much as in getting the big money from PAC’s.

    Right now, he doesn’t have enough money to run an effective advertising campaign in even a small-sized primary state. To get to that point, fundraising will need to increase significantly.

  • http://www.belowthebeltway.com Doug Mataconis

    Kevin,

    Another disturbing aspect about Ron Paul’s donors, a quarter of his donors are maxed out already and he doesn’t have much to show for it.

    I hadn’t realized that. If that’s true, then he faces a bigger problem than I realized.

    What I’ll be interested to see is if he takes public financing

  • http://unrepentantindividual.com/ Brad Warbiany

    The only real question is whether he can reach some sort of critical mass of public support early enough to get the attention of big donors. There is still time, but the new primary schedule works against him. Unless he makes some serious gains soon, it will be too late.

  • http://www.liveammo.com Gregory Perry

    There is plenty of time left in this race for Dr. Paul to gain traction and financial support. Dollars and cents don’t the candidate make, votes are what puts him into the White House. The advent of streaming video and social networking sites gives him an international platform to spread his message, without having to expend a single dime to reach voters.

    You had better hope that Dr. Paul gets elected, he is the only person that has intimate knowledge of the world monetary system but yet is not a part of the organized plot to merge the United States into a North American Union.

  • A Supporter

    We’ll have to wait until after the first debate to see how things go. You could see his numbers go up quite a bit. Also notice that Dr. Paul is running a frugal campaign right now. The other candidates are burning through cash so fast that they may be low on money later in the cycle. Remember that individuals can only give $2300 a year. Big names like Clinton, Obama, Giuliani, etc. are running through cash so fast that they may have a harder time going back to the well a second time.

    Remember that the election is almost TWO YEARS away. I can’t believe how much of this campaign is focused on only money. People don’t know anything about the other candiates except how much money they have. I think this is the lowest point in American politics this country has seen yet. Can it go lower? Not if you support Ron Paul.

  • http://thelibertypapers.org/2005/11/22/a-bit-about-kevin/ Kevin

    Also notice that Dr. Paul is running a frugal campaign right now. The other candidates are burning through cash so fast that they may be low on money later in the cycle.

    Guiliani and Brownback are also being good with resources right now. Romney is spending more than he should, but he can also self-finance to an extent and most of his contributors can give more. Brownback can also tap his contributors much more as well.

    Still, if you only have less than $600,000 on hand and already a quarter of your contributors are maxed out, you have serious fundraising problems.

  • http://www.belowthebeltway.com Doug Mataconis

    There’s a reason that the campaigns are focused on money……because you need money to run an effective campaign. Ron Paul is a virtual unknown outside of Texas and certain libertarian circles. He needs name recognition. The Internet is helping with that, as will his appearances at debates and other forms of “free media”

    You also need money to run a real campaign organization. You need to rent office space, buy supplies, pay airplane, hotel, and transportation bills, and pay staffers because not everyone works as a volunteer.

    The millions that Giuliani, McCain, and Romney have raised and will continue to raise will enable them to have effective organizations on the ground in every state they need to be in. Given how short the primary season is going to be in 2008, this will be extremely important.

    Unless he ramps up fund raising soon, Paul is going to be so far behind it will be impossible to catch up. And impossible to run an effective campaign in the dozens of primaries that follow on the heels of Iowa and New Hampshire.

  • http://www.belowthebeltway.com Doug Mataconis

    There’s a reason that the campaigns are focused on money……because you need money to run an effective campaign. Ron Paul is a virtual unknown outside of Texas and certain libertarian circles. He needs name recognition. The Internet is helping with that, as will his appearances at debates and other forms of “free media”, but they only help so much.

    If you want to win, you need to raise and spend money.

    You also need money to run a real campaign organization. You need to rent office space, buy supplies, pay airplane, hotel, and transportation bills, and pay staffers because not everyone works as a volunteer.

    The millions that Giuliani, McCain, and Romney have raised and will continue to raise will enable them to have effective organizations on the ground in every state they need to be in. Given how short the primary season is going to be in 2008, this will be extremely important.

    Unless he ramps up fund raising soon, Paul is going to be so far behind it will be impossible to catch up. And impossible to run an effective campaign in the dozens of primaries that follow on the heels of Iowa and New Hampshire.

  • http://www.FreedomsPhoenix.com Ernest Hancock

    http://www.RonPaulRevolution.com and http://www.RonPaulRevolution.org will provide a much better picture of the real campaign to free minds (YouTube search “Ron Paul Revolution” please). Here in Arizona we are very much involved with the campaign to bring attention to Ron Paul and the issues only he can represent as a believer in liberty. The Nascar race here in Phoenix this weekend along with 20,000 – 30,000 at one of the largest gun shows in the country will get a great big dose of Ron Paul and we are not even paying attention to what is or is not happening with the ‘official’ campaign. I saw up close here in Arizona what individuals could do in 1992 with a candidate that was without. Ron Paul is definately a candidate _with_. In the past month volunteers that have nothing to do with the campaign have produced over 400 large signs. The freeway system here is constantly bombarded with Ron Paul’s name. You’ll never see this in the mainstream media,… and with millions exposed everyday we are making the MSM realize how irrelivant they are. This time the people have the ability to communicate with each other for FREE.

    Those that can not or will not see what is happening with this campaign at this stage are not likely to understand what the Ron Paul Revolution is capable of over the next year. Well before the Super Duper Primaries of February 2008 enough people will have made their opinions clear about what Ron Paul represents (for/against) that he will drive the vast majority of the debate. Controvercy creates commitment. Issues about Self-Ownership and the proper role of government will attain their highest level of debate in the memory of most and I intend to take full advantage of it.

    Those that don’t embrace this opportunity as individuals will be proven to have little understanding of what is happening in the streets of America. In the end Freedom Always Wins,… and we are much closer to the end this week than last week.

    To me support for Ron Paul isn’t about beting on a horse race, it’s about confidence in the power of an idea.

    Watch,… learn and be prepared for a great big ‘We told you so’,

    Ernest Hancock

  • http://www.dailypaul.com/ Wiseburn

    Kevin must have learned Math in a monopoly government run school.

    From OpenSecrets.org’s report, 58 contributors out of 464 maxed out their (primary election) contribution. This is only 12%.

    Furthermore, the report only lists contributors who have donated more than a minimum amount.

      $639,989 total
    – $395,158 broken out by opensecrets.org report
    ———–
      $244,831

    was given in amounts of less than either $250 or $200 dollars. That’s another 1000 to 1200 contributers not taken into account.

    So actually only about 3-4% of his contributors have maxed out for the primary election.

    Dr. Paul has not yet done a direct mailing and very little telephone fundraising. This is mostly internet contributions. His campaign is just gearing up.

    While Dr. Paul won’t raise as much as Hillary and Guiliani, he has committed supporters who know how to use the internet and Dr. Paul will use his contributions wisely.

    Steve

  • http://thelibertypapers.org/2005/11/22/a-bit-about-kevin/ Kevin

    Wiseburn,

    You mean this OpenSecrets.org report that doesn’t even break down who donated what:

    http://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/summary.asp?id=N00005906&cycle=2008

    I’ll take the Washington Post’s numbers until I see a summary from someone else that corrects it.

  • http://www.dailypaul.com/ Wiseburn
  • Norm Nelson

    Dr. Paul isn’t rasing any big money because he has nothing to sell. All the money front runners are peddling future influence as fast as they can. Dr. No is running on an “I can’t be influenced” campaign. It’s what we need but doesn’t sell itself.

  • TaoWarrior

    Kevin,

    Be very wary of taking any MSM reports about Ron Paul at face value.

    The MSM can and will distort reporting to keep RP out. I have already seen examples of it this cycle.

    Yes Dr. Paul has a long road ahead of him. However we have not even had the first debate yet so to write him off already would be a big mistake.

  • Mongo

    Ron Paul is probably the last, best chance to save this nation from facism. I am disabled, on a fixed income, and have donated twice already. I will continue to donate as long as he is running.
    I will not! have my children grow up in a dictatorship!

  • NH

    Ron Paul is raising the most money of any other R in NH except for Mitt Romney….so there.

  • http://www.thelibertypapers.org Doug Mataconis

    NH,

    You’re kidding right ?

    Romney has raised over $ 100,000

    Paul has raised a little under $ 17,000

    Calling that second place is like calling Reagan’s victory over Mondale in 1984 “close”

  • http://www.grannywarriors.com Linda Hunnicutt

    We are on a mission starting May 1st which will run through to the election. Our War wagon will be on the roads, at events, at every place we can find with people. We will be handing out information and talking to people to educate them on what is going on in this country thus showing them the need for Honesty, Integrity and Morality which equals Ron Paul.

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