The 2008 Republican Presidential Nominee: None Of The Above

According to a new AP Poll, Republican voters aren’t happy with any of the choices they are facing in 2008:

The latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that nearly a quarter of Republicans are unwilling to back top-tier hopefuls Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson, John McCain or Mitt Romney, and no one candidate has emerged as the clear front-runner among Christian evangelicals. Such dissatisfaction underscores the volatility of the 2008 GOP nomination fight.


A half year before voting begins, the survey shows the White House race is far more wide open on the Republican side than on the Democratic. The uneven enthusiasm about the fields also is reflected in fundraising in which Democrats outraised Republicans $80 million to $50 million from April through June, continuing a trend from the year’s first three months.

Unfortunately, if the GOP is going win, NOTA is not an acceptable candidate.

  • robert haley

    The latest Zogby poll has Giuliani down to 21 per cent and trailing Fred Thompson by 1 per cent. The IPSOS poll also has Giuliani down to 21 per cent although he still edges out Thompson. The Rasmussen poll has Giuliani at 24 per cent and trailing Thompson by 1. So Giuliani has fallen from 45-50% in Feb. to just 21-24% in July and he has lost the lead in a couple of polls to an unannounced candidate. Giuliani is going the way of John McCain although he might last a little longer because he has more money. A big loss in the Iowa Straw poll could hurt Giuliani further even though he’s not contesting there.

    The neo-cons jumped on the McCain bandwagon and when he faltered they quickly switched to Giuliani . Now that Rudy’s on the slide, they’re all jumping on the Thompson bandwagon. How long will that last? Thompson at least doesn’t have all the liberal baggage that Giuliani and McCain had, but he’s still a staunch supporter of the Iraq War and that will do him in down the road.

    Romney’s just slippery enough to survive. Already he’s beginning to suggest that if Bush doesn’t come up with an exit strategy for Iraq pretty soon, he’ll come up with his own. Could he be feeling Ron Paul’s footsteps in Iowa?

    The Republican race is wide open which doesn’t mean that Ron Paul will win it, but it does mean that it’s anybody’s guess who will.

    The Iowa Straw poll could be EXTREMELY important for that reason. Who among the second tier will do well? We could see Paul and Brownback or Paul and Huckabee emerge as significant contenders. Or maybe it will be Brownback and Huckabee and Paul will remain in the second tier. I doubt that, however, because Paul seems to have too strong a volunteer organization in Iowa, and Brownback and Huckabee don’t have much money to spend. Besides, Paul can appeal to independents and Democrats while Brownback and Huckabee are competing for the Christian fundamentalist vote.

    In any case, the Iowa Straw Poll could be a moment of truth for the Paul campaign.