Latest Rasmussen Poll: More Of The Same Nationally, And A Huckabee Surprise In Iowaby Doug Mataconis
The latest Rasmussen Poll is out and, at least on the national side, shows results consistent with other national polls released in the past month:
For the seven days ending October 14, 2007 show that Rudy Giuliani earns 29% of the vote while Fred Thompson attracts 19%. Mitt Romney has slipped a point and is supported by 14%. John McCain is now the favorite for just 10% and Mike Huckabee is at 7%. Sam Brownback is at 2%, Ron Paul at 1%, and two other candidates each round up to 1%. Sixteen percent (16%) are undecided
In Iowa, though, things are a little different:
The first Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Republican Caucus for 2008 finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney enjoying a six-point lead while former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee are virtually tied for second.
Romney attracts 25% of the vote from Likely Caucus Participants, Thompson earns 19%, and Huckabee is at 18% in the poll. National frontrunner and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is the only other Republican in double digits at 13%. Arizona Senator John McCain, once considered by some to be the GOP frontrunner, gets just 6% of the vote. Kansas Senator Sam Brownback (3%), rounds out the field with Congressmen Tom Tancredo (2%), Ron Paul (2%), and Duncan Hunter (1%). Eleven percent (11%) are undecided
The surprise here isn’t so much Romney, who won the Iowa Straw Poll in August and has a strong organization in the state, but Huckabee. While he did come in second in the straw poll, he has virtually no cash on hand and doesn’t seem to have spent a lot of time in the state. Whether he’s able to maintain this type of showing through the caucuses in early January remains to be seen, and, even if he does, it doesn’t seem likely he’d be able to capitalize on it given the relative lack of money.
Or, as Rojas puts it, he needs about $ 10 million.