Comments on: The Marathon Is Becoming A Sprint

By: FreedomDemocrat

FreedomDemocrat — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 22:51:17 +0000

Giuliani needs a Southern, social conservative on the ticket with him. Huckabee may just manage to raise his media profile enough to practically force Giuliani into picking him, much as Edwards did to Kerry, but that’s not a sure bet. Governors Barbour and Perdue are more likely.

By: Lost_In_Translation

Lost_In_Translation — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 22:50:59 +0000

Kevin,

Giuliani-Huckabee would definitely lose to the Clinton machine and I wouldn’t be sure whether to gloat or cry.

By: Doug Mataconis

Doug Mataconis — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 18:43:54 +0000

Trent,

I didn’t like much of what Romney said last night, but he was right on the Confederate flag.

By: TanGeng

TanGeng — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 17:46:03 +0000

Kevin,

I don’t think so. The Giuliani-Huckabee or the Huckabee-Giuliani ticket is dysfunctional. The Social-Cons don’t like Giuliani. The free marketers don’t like Huckabee. It’d send a lot of mixed messaged and probably convince more people to stay home.

And I hate both of them.

By: Kevin

Kevin — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 17:16:45 +0000

The GOP ticket will probably be Giuliani-Huckabee or even Huckabee at the top.

By: TanGeng

TanGeng — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 16:45:39 +0000

Oops misspoke. Huckabee is going to get a plurality. No one will have a majority.

By: TanGeng

TanGeng — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 16:45:07 +0000

Hmmm,

I don’t think Romney’s going to hold up. He’s really soft in support. I’d think that he’s pretty much finished. If 30 million dollars can’t get you enough of a cushion of support, I don’t know what will give him solid support.

Huckabee and Giuliani are the two frontrunners. McCain and Paul are the possible upsets. How strange it is that Giuliani and Huckabee are represent diverging factions from the Republican Base. Huckabee and Giuliani are really really different from one another.

I’m going to say that Huckabee gets the majority because of the Social Con strength. He’s followed by Giuliani. Thompson should pack it in. McCain and Paul will continue to make their statements to the American public. But no one Republican is going to have the nomination wrapped up. It’s going to be chaos.

By: Doug Mataconis

Doug Mataconis — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 16:31:19 +0000

Mark,

You are correct. I guess I still think of Super Tuesday as a Southern thing.

The interesting thing is that two of the states you mention — New Jersey and California — are very strongly pro-Giuliani.

By: Trent K

Trent K — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 16:02:57 +0000

Looks like the MSM marching orders involve promoting Huckabee endlessly. Ron Paul had 2-3 questions and limited time. He still crushed them all (how come every article forgets to include his comeback to McCain which mentioned that Ron Paul gets more Military Contributions than any other candidate?). Mitt is dead after desecrating the Confederate flag. Many Southerns died under that flag. Unfortunately it took segregationist Governor Wallace to reveal the truth that “there’s not a dime’s worth of difference between” Republicans and Democrats. The Democrats willingly went along with the War in Iraq, suspension of Habeas Corpus, detaining protesters, banning books like “America Deceived’ from Amazon, warrant-less wiretapping and refusing to investigate 9/11 properly. They are both guilty of treason.
Support Dr. Ron Paul and save this great nation.
Last link (before Google Books bends to gov’t Will and drops the title):
http://www.iuniverse.com/bookstore/book_detail.asp?&isbn=0-595-38523-0

By: Mark

Mark — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 15:47:35 +0000

Good analysis, but…
Super Tuesday really isn’t primarily southern and western states. You have to keep in mind that it has pretty much all of Giuliani’s strongholds, where his support is likely at 45-50%, maybe higher: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut. I’d also expect him to have a high percentage in Illinois and Delaware. Mass., by the way, also goes that day, as does California (which is a bit different than the rest of the West). Sure, the majority of states going are southern and western, but you should remember that the majority of states period are southern and western. Super Tuesday is thus fairly well-balanced in terms of regions.

One other thing: Giuliani is in a tight race in Michigan and Nevada (which should see a good turnout for Romney since there’s a lot of Mormons there), and is competing with Ron Paul at the bottom in SC. It’s possible that Giuliani will be looking very weak going into the Florida primary- that primary may wind up being his “line in the sand.” Come Super Tuesday, you could see those numbers shift like crazy.

By: Jeff Molby

Jeff Molby — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 15:15:21 +0000

You managed to present your opinion without any blatant spin or fallacy. Thank you.

By: Greg

Greg — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 12:30:22 +0000

I predict that if Giuliani finishes behind Paul and/or McCain in New Hampshire, he’s done. I think McCain will see a surge of support again after last night’s performance in the debate.

I predict going into Super Tuesday it will be (Romney, McCain, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, Thompson)