McCain’s numbers in Virginia went up after Romney dropped out, not Huckabee’s. Huckabee has made up some ground since then but given the fact that McCain will heavily populated areas of the state like Northern Virginia and the Tidewater/Norfolk region, I’m pretty certain that it won’t be enough.

And if you believe that “Romney Huckabee and Paul” have been splitting the conservative vote, you have a funny way of defining splitting. When they were all in the race, Romney and Huckabee got most of that vote and Ron Paul got table scrapes.

He hasn’t picked up any significant support since Romney dropped out.

There won’t be a brokered convention, that I’m certain of. And even if there were, there’s no way that Ron Paul would be the nominee that came out of it.

So far, the only states where McCain has won a majority of the vote are Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York — hardly conservative strongholds. He didn’t even manage 50% in his home state of Arizona.

In Kansas and Washington, about three fourths of Republican caucus-goers voted against him. It sort of makes you think the only reason he is leading the race is because Romney, Huckabee, and Paul have been splitting the conservative vote.