Bob Barr Likely To Fall Short Of Hopes

Based on these preliminary vote total figures, it looks like Bob Barr’s best outcome would be to exceed Harry Browne’s vote total in 1996:

Vote Totaqls

Based on these numbers, Barr has exceeded Ron Paul’s vote total from 1988 and seems likely to match or exceed Harry Browne’s vote total from 1996, but will fall far short of Ed Clark’s 1980 high water mark for the Libertarian Party.

Disappointing ?

Yes, but it’s worth noting that there were two states where Barr’s votes may have cost John McCain the state:

Indiana
Obama 49.9%
McCain 49%
Barr 1.1%

North Carolina
Obama 49.8%
McCain 49.6%
Barr 0.6%

Will Republicans notice ?

  • Mr.Econotarian

    Indiana and NC are 26 electoral votes. Not much in this 202 vote difference election…

  • http://www.thelibertypapers.org/author/tarran/ tarran

    Only if the electoral vote shift threatened to alter the outcome of the election would the Republicans notice.

    As it is, the Republicans will probably blame McCain’s poor performance or media bias for the loss. Bad philosophy? Not so much.

  • RobbBond

    “Only if the electoral vote shift threatened to alter the outcome of the election would the Republicans notice.

    As it is, the Republicans will probably blame McCain’s poor performance or media bias for the loss. Bad philosophy? Not so much.”

    In reading over much of the Republican reaction to the aftermath of this bloodbath, I would have to disagree with you somewhat. There is rising sentiment towards exorcising the party of so-called “RINO’s” and replacing them with “true” conservatives. Now this is at the grassroots level so if it will matriculate up to the upper echelons remains to be seen, but I think if they’re wise they will embrace a much more traditional conservative model to contrast sharply with the Socialism of BHO. Also, I hope they become very obstructionist in the Senate and draw a clear line in the sand. That will help their chances in 2010.

  • Norm

    “There is rising sentiment towards exorcising the party of so-called “RINO’s” and replacing them with “true” conservatives.”

    For that to happen we need those Republican’s involved in Ron Paul Meetup groups to get involved at the grass roots level.

    If on the other hand you desire movement/traction in the Libertarian party there needs to be a paradigm shift away from the “only vote for one” system that perpetuates the spoiler effect. Without voting reform all third parties are just banging their heads against the wall.

  • RobbBond

    I think that the best strategy for libertarians would be to continue to try and get Ron Paul-types exposure in the Republican party. Perhaps not Paul himself but I saw a real influx of young voters who were interested in the ideas Paul advocated (myself included). I think Paul would have had even more success this last time if it wasn’t Republican George W Bush that he tended to rail against. If it had been say, Barack Obama, his message would have been met with even more support. It’s my opinion that the best way forward for small l libertarians is through trying to transform the Republican party. And now, with their current state of rebuilding, its the perfect time.

  • TerryP

    Will the republicans notice? Yes they may, by never again voting for a libertarian since it may have cost them the election in their state. Since McCain would have lost even without those states it likely won’t make too much of a difference, but even if it is just a handful of people that will now no longer vote for libertarians we may have hurt the party more in the long run. I would have rather us focused our resources on non-competitive states where we had a better chance of getting more votes without potentially hurting us long term.