At least one, and possibly both, parties’ Presidential nominating contests could be over tomorrow, so this could very well be the last prediction thread until after Labor Day. So let’s get this one right. Republicans Let’s get the easy one out of the way. John McCain is going win today and he’s going to win [...]

As long-time readers of this blog know, I tend towards anarcho-capitalism from time to time, but have had lingering doubts. So here’s the question: We have seen that areas outside of the “government” provision of security tend towards abuse. The specific instance I’m referring to is the gang or mafia model, where those groups designed [...]

With the last major primaries before March 4th behind us, the race on both sides is looking clearer and clearer. Republicans As James Joyner notes, this is the easy one. As expected, John McCain won handily in Wisconsin and Washington and, more importantly, he has cut significantly into Mike Huckabee’s core support areas. As of [...]

With today’s announcement that Fidel Castro is stepping down as President of Cuba, the curtain is drawn on one of the longest international rivalries of the 20th Century. Yes, Fidel’s brother Raul is taking his place, and, yes, Cuba remains a one-party dictatorship, but this announcement leaves me with the feeling that we are seeing [...]

This job is getting a lot easier now that the Democratic race is down to two people and the Republican race is essentially over. Nonetheless, here we go. Republicans Over the weekend, some may have gotten the impression that Mike Huckabee was riding the wave of a stop McCain movement, but that wave will crash [...]

I’m a policy wonk, not a political horse-trader. But in this comment, Doug suggests that a brokered convention is becoming unlikely. I’m not sure I believe that, as there are still three candidates in the race, and it won’t take too much for them to split what’s left. Huckabee has done very well in the [...]

So, where do things stand this morning ? Here’s how I see it: Republicans Though he didn’t do quite as well as I expected, it’s clear that John McCain was the big winner last night. He won nine states and a total of 511 delegates, including big wins in New York, New Jersey, and, somewhat [...]

Quite honestly, I’m not sure anyone can predict with certainty what’s going to happen when you’re dealing with the closest thing to a national primary day that we’ve ever had. Nonetheless, here I go again: Republicans Thanks to strong victories in several winner-take-all states such as New York and New Jersey, John McCain will come [...]

Given the news that’s breaking this morning, about which there is more below, it’s fairly clear that the race for the Republican and Democratic nomination have both entered their final phase, and things are turning out far differently than we thought they would one month, or even two weeks, ago. Republicans John McCain is now [...]

Once again, I tread into the dangerous and, so far unsuccessful, world of prediction. In this case, today’s South Carolina Republican Primary and Nevada Caucuses. First Nevada: Democrats Barack Obama Hillary Clinton John Edwards The current polls show Clinton with a slight edge, but caucuses are harder to poll than primaries and I think Obama [...]

With Mitt Romney’s win in Michigan last night, we are now at the point where three separate candidates have won the first three contests of the Republican Nomination race. Hucabkee won Iowa, McCain won New Hampshire, and Romney surprised everyone with a strong win in Michigan. So, what happens next ? Mitt Romney: A win [...]

While it’s ultimate impact on the Presidential race has yet to be determined, the New Hampshire Presidential Primary is over and it’s time to figure out what happened. On the Republican side, we had, as expected, a repeat of 2000 for John McCain: MANCHESTER, N.H., Jan. 8 — Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the early [...]

When I tried this before the Iowa Caucuses, my predictions beyond the actual winner proved to be slightly less than accurate, but nonetheless, here are some predictions of how things will turn out tomorrow in the Granite State. Democrats Barack Obama Hillary Clinton John Edwards Bill Richardson Everybody else (assuming Kucinich and/or Gravel are even [...]

Here is my best educated guess of how things will pan out at the end of the night tonight. This is just order of finish, not percentages. On that end, I think we’ll see some pretty tight numbers between 3rd through 5th place on the Republican side and among the top three on the Democratic [...]

Note that I didn’t say “revolutions” edition, although if your resolution is to start a revolution, that’s fine too. My goals are pretty vanilla; get into better shape and cut down on debt, and hopefully (if the market is properly battered) to buy a house. How about you folks? What do you have planned for [...]

Today’s open thread is about how those of who support limited government can stop Mike Huckabee. To spur the creative juices, here’s Mike at his finest:

Mark at Publius Endures throws some questions to that sub-set of Ron Paul supporters who have reacted to any sign of disagreement as a personal afront — something we’ve seen here in comment threads like this one, this one, and this one: As I and a number of other libertarian bloggers who question Ron Paul [...]

This is a cross-post from Below The Beltway. It doesn’t directly relate to issues of individual liberty, but it raises some interesting questions about when the private use of force is justifiable that should provide a worthwhile discussion here. A case out of Pasadena Texas raises some interesting questions about when it is justifiable for [...]

About a week ago, I began a discussion of what I call the “hard cases” for libertarian ideas with some open questions about the status of children under a libertarian theory of natural rights. The comments to that post, as well as the follow-up Monday Open Thread, yielded some interesting ideas that I intend to [...]

Why, I’ve got to ask myself, are the left-wing bloggers starting to go after Ron Paul ? After all, he’s still barely registering in the polls, and he’s clearly not within the mainstream of the present-day Republican Party (although I consider that a positive). He probably isn’t going to win the nomination. So why are [...]